id: 02336341
dt: a
an: 2000f.04634
au: Moritz, Jonathan; Watson, Jane
ti: Reasoning and expressing probability in students’ judgements of coin
tossing.
so: Bana, Jack et al., Mathematics education beyond 2000. Vol. 2. Proceedings.
, (ISBN 0-9596844-8-4). 448-455 (2000).
py: 2000
pu: ,
la: EN
cc: K53
ut:
ci:
li:
ab: A survey item based on a newspaper article about coin tosses was
administered to 1256 students from grades 6 to 11. Few students
determined the probability of four successive tails. Most students
considered that heads and tails were equally likely for a subsequent
fifth toss, often describing the probability as “50-50”. Students
in higher grades were more likely to respond appropriately. Results are
discussed with reference to equiprobability, independence, the
gambler’s fallacy, and the outcome approach to probability.
rv: