
06530376
j
2016a.00890
Satake, Eiki
Vashlishan Murray, Amy
An alternative teaching method of conditional probabilities and Bayes' rule: an application of the truth table.
Teach. Stat. 37, No. 3, 8995 (2015).
2015
Wiley (WileyBlackwell), Oxford; Teaching Statistics Trust (TST) c/o University of Plymouth, Faculty of Education, Royal Statistical Society Centre for Statistical Education (RSSCSE), Plymouth, Devon
EN
K60
K50
teaching statistics
conditional probability
Bayes' rule
truth table
doi:10.1111/test.12080
Summary: This paper presents a comparison of three approaches to the teaching of probability to demonstrate how the truth table of elementary mathematical logic can be used to teach the calculations of conditional probabilities. Students are typically introduced to the topic of conditional probabilities  especially the ones that involve Bayes' rule  with the help of such traditional approaches as formula use or conversion to natural frequencies. The truth table approach is an alternative method for explaining the concept and calculation procedure of conditional probability and Bayes' rule.