id: 06530376
dt: j
an: 2016a.00890
au: Satake, Eiki; Vashlishan Murray, Amy
ti: An alternative teaching method of conditional probabilities and Bayes’
rule: an application of the truth table.
so: Teach. Stat. 37, No. 3, 89-95 (2015).
py: 2015
pu: Wiley (Wiley-Blackwell), Oxford; Teaching Statistics Trust (TST) c/o
University of Plymouth, Faculty of Education, Royal Statistical Society
Centre for Statistical Education (RSSCSE), Plymouth, Devon
la: EN
cc: K60 K50
ut: teaching statistics; conditional probability; Bayes’ rule; truth table
ci:
li: doi:10.1111/test.12080
ab: Summary: This paper presents a comparison of three approaches to the
teaching of probability to demonstrate how the truth table of
elementary mathematical logic can be used to teach the calculations of
conditional probabilities. Students are typically introduced to the
topic of conditional probabilities ‒ especially the ones that involve
Bayes’ rule ‒ with the help of such traditional approaches as
formula use or conversion to natural frequencies. The truth table
approach is an alternative method for explaining the concept and
calculation procedure of conditional probability and Bayes’ rule.
rv: