id: 06090082
dt: a
an: 06090082
au: Thron, Chris; Salerno, John; Kwiat, Adam; Dexter, Philip; Smith, Jason
ti: Modeling South African service protests using the national operational
    environment model.
so: Yang, Shanchieh Jay (ed.) et al., Social computing, behavioral ‒ cultural
    modeling and prediction. 5th international conference, SBP 2012,
    College Park, MD, USA, April 3‒5, 2012. Proceedings. Berlin: Springer
    (ISBN 978-3-642-29046-6/pbk). Lecture Notes in Computer Science 7227,
    298-305 (2012).
py: 2012
pu: Berlin: Springer
la: EN
cc: 
ut: agent-based modeling; behavior modeling; population simulation
ci: 
li: doi:10.1007/978-3-642-29047-3_36
ab: Summary: The Air Force Research Laboratory’s National Operational
    Environment Model (NOEM) is a strategic analysis/assessment tool that
    provides insight into the complex state space that depicts today’s
    modern nation-state environment. A key component of the NOEM is its
    Populace Behavior Module, an agent-based model that describes activist
    behavior in terms of populace agents’ perceptions of hardship and
    government legitimacy. Although based on Epstein’s grievance vs. net
    risk model [1], enhancements have been made that make the model more
    practically applicable. We applied the model to an actual scenario,
    namely service protests in Gauteng Province, South Africa from
    2004-2010. When model parameters were fit based on the data, the model
    successfully duplicated both qualitative and quantitative
    characteristics of the historical data.
rv: