id: 06095872 dt: j an: 06095872 au: Zhuang, Lili; Cressie, Noel ti: Spatio-temporal modeling of sudden infant death syndrome data. so: Stat. Methodol. 9, No. 1-2, 117-143 (2012). py: 2012 pu: Elsevier, Amsterdam la: EN cc: ut: dynamical Markov random field; SIDS ci: li: doi:10.1016/j.stamet.2011.01.006 ab: Summary: Sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) is a classification of death for apparently healthy infants under one year old. However, its etiology is still largely a mystery. We analyze a spatio-temporal data set that contains yearly SIDS information from 1979 to 1984 for the counties of North Carolina. {\it N. Cressie} and {\it N.H. Chan} [J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 84, No. 406, 393‒401 (1989; Zbl 06095574)] used a purely spatial model to analyze the aggregated version of this data set. We present a spatio-temporal model from which optimal smoothing of SIDS rates can be derived. We use a Bayesian hierarchical statistical model (BHM) with a hidden dynamical Markov random field and extra-Poisson variability. Potential confounding of sources of variability is avoided by calibrating the extra-Poisson variability with the microscale variation in an approximate Gaussian model. rv: