id: 06114140 dt: j an: 06114140 au: Jasra, Ajay; Singh, Sumeetpal S.; Martin, James S.; McCoy, Emma ti: Filtering via approximate Bayesian computation. so: Stat. Comput. 22, No. 6, 1223-1237 (2012). py: 2012 pu: Springer, Dordrecht la: EN cc: ut: hidden Markov model; bias; sequential Monte Carlo ci: li: doi:10.1007/s11222-010-9185-0 ab: Summary: Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become a popular technique to facilitate Bayesian inference from complex models. We present an ABC approximation designed to perform biased filtering for a hidden Markov model when the likelihood function is intractable. We use a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm to both fit and sample from our ABC approximation of the target probability density. This approach is shown to, empirically, be more accurate w.r.t. the original filter than competing methods. The theoretical bias of our method is investigated; it is shown that the bias goes to zero at the expense of increased computational effort. Our approach is illustrated on a constrained sequential lasso for portfolio allocation to 15 constituents of the FTSE 100 share index. rv: